Pengaruh Nilai Perusahaan dan Kesempatan Bertumbuh terhadap Return Saham dengan Kebijakan Dividen sebagai Variabel Moderasi
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.54065/jss.6.3.2026.1514Keywords:
Firm Value, Growth Opportunities, Dividend Policy, Stock ReturnsAbstract
This study aims to test and obtain empirical evidence regarding the effects of Firm Value and Growth Opportunities on Stock Returns, with Dividend Policy as a moderating variable, among companies in the Consumer Non-Cyclicals sector listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange from 2022 to 2024. During the study period, the Consumer Non-Cyclicals sector was one of the sectors that experienced a decline in stock prices due to the COVID-19 pandemic. The research sample was collected using purposive sampling based on a predetermined list of criteria, resulting in a sample of 32 companies with 96 observations, and employing an associative quantitative approach. Data sources were obtained from annual reports accessible via www.idx.co.id or company websites. Data analysis was conducted using panel data regression and Moderated Regression Analysis (MRA) with EViews 12. The results indicate that firm value has a positive effect on stock returns, growth opportunities have a negative effect on stock returns, dividend policy moderates the effect of firm value on stock returns, and dividend policy does not moderate the effect of growth opportunities on stock returns. These findings imply that investors may consider firm value and growth opportunities as a basis for investment decision-making, while firms need to maintain optimal dividend policies to enhance positive responses.
References
Al-Alamin, M., Widnyana, I. W., & Sukadana, I. W. (2025). Pengaruh likuiditas, profitabilitas, dan kebijakan dividen terhadap return saham pada perusahaan industri food and beverages yang terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia. EMAS, 6(2), 448–466. https://doi.org/10.36733/emas.v6i2.11330
Anggraini, M. D. (2024). Pengaruh profitabilitas, likuiditas, ukuran perusahaan, kebijakan dividen terhadap return saham pada industri food and beverage. Journal of Comprehensive Science, 3(3). https://doi.org/10.59188/jcs.v3i3.641
Annisa, D., & Alyani, A. A. N. (2021). Pengaruh nilai perusahaan, kinerja perusahaan, dan kesempatan bertumbuh terhadap return saham perusahaan keluarga dengan ukuran KAP sebagai pemoderasi. Scientific Journal of Reflection: Economic, Accounting, Management and Business, 4. https://doi.org/10.37481/sjr.v4i1.245
Apriyanti, M., Mahmudi, B., & Suryani, E. (2026). Pengaruh profitabilitas terhadap harga saham dengan kebijakan dividen sebagai variabel intervening. Journal Social Society, 6(1). https://doi.org/10.30605/jss.6.1.2026.1006
Erika, Simorangkir, N., Goh, T. S., Simanjuntak, A., & Syawaluddin. (2024). Pengaruh arus kas, nilai perusahaan, total aset, dan laba akuntansi terhadap return saham pada perusahaan sektor industri barang konsumsi yang terdaftar di BEI tahun 2020–2022. Manajemen: Jurnal Ekonomi USI, 6(3). https://doi.org/10.36985/nv8f9m17
Fajriah, A. N., Yusnita, R. T., & Yuniar, E. S. (2025). Pengaruh rasio likuiditas, leverage, dan growth opportunity terhadap return saham. Jurnal Manajemen, Akuntansi dan Ekonomi (Musytari), (1). https://doi.org/10.2324/zvvrds22
Fasa, A. (2023). Hubungan antara investment opportunity set dan kebijakan dividen pada perusahaan yang listing di Bursa Efek Indonesia. Jurnal Accounting Information System (AIMS), 6(1), 19–29. https://doi.org/10.32627/aims.v6i1.692
Hiqmahwati, Matruty, D. J., & Soukotta, A. (2023). Pengaruh growth opportunity dan likuiditas terhadap return saham pada perusahaan manufaktur sub sektor farmasi yang terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia. Jurnal Pendidikan Tambusai, 7. https://doi.org/10.31004/jptam.v7i2.8676
Komala, S. F., & Annisa, D. (2025). Pengaruh pertumbuhan penjualan dan kepemilikan manajerial terhadap nilai perusahaan dengan ukuran perusahaan sebagai pemoderasi. Journal of Economics, Business and Management Issues, 2(4), 509–524. https://doi.org/10.47134/jebmi.v2i4.873
Kornelis, S., Suyanto, S., & Kirana, K. C. (2025). Pengaruh profitabilitas, leverage, dan ukuran perusahaan terhadap nilai perusahaan. Jurnal Literasi Akuntansi, 5(1), 12–26. https://doi.org/10.55587/jla.v5i1.140
Kusumaningtyas, E., Sugiyanto, S., Subagyo, E., Adinugroho, W. C., Jacob, J., Berry, Y., Nuraini, A., Sudjono, S., & Syah, S. (2022). Konsep dan praktik ekonometrika Menggunakan EView. Academia Publication.
Linda, A. D., Widyastuti, T., Maidani, & Sari, S. N. (2024). Pengaruh struktur modal dan kesempatan bertumbuh terhadap earning response coefficient pada perusahaan sektor perbankan. Sentri: Jurnal Riset Ilmiah, (2), 798–807. https://doi.org/10.55681/sentri.v3i2.2326
Ningsih, W. W., & Maharani, N. K. (2022). Pengaruh kebijakan dividen, return on assets, dan return on equity terhadap return saham. PAPATUNG: Jurnal Ilmu Administrasi Publik, Pemerintahan Dan Politik, 5(1), 60-69. https://doi.org/10.54783/japp.v5i1.509
Nurfithriyani, D., & Pohan, H. T. (2024). Pengaruh laba akuntansi, arus kas operasi, kebijakan dividen, dan pertumbuhan penjualan terhadap return saham. JAKP: Jurnal Akuntansi, Keuangan dan Perpajakan, 7(2), 95-107. https://doi.org/10.51510/jakp.v7i2.1692
Pakaya, F., Agus, M., Monoarfa, S., & Amali, L. M. (2025). Pengaruh capital expenditure to book value of asset (CAPBVA) dan investment to net sales (IONS) terhadap harga saham perusahaan sektor property and real estate yang terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia periode 2020–2022. Jambura, 7(3). https://doi.org/10.37479/jimb.v7i3.29921
Pertiwi, N. P. T., & Susilo, D. (2024). Pengaruh profitabilitas, solvabilitas, likuiditas, dan nilai perusahaan terhadap return saham pada perusahaan LQ45 yang terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia periode 2019–2022. Journal of Accounting and Management’s Student, 1(1). Retrieved from https://journals.unikal.ac.id/index.php/jams/article/view/88
Rahmalia, R., & Suwarno. (2022). Pengaruh profitabilitas, ukuran perusahaan, nilai perusahaan, dan debt to equity ratio terhadap return saham pada perusahaan yang terdaftar di BEI. Journal of Culture Accounting and Auditing, 1(2), 99–111. https://doi.org/10.30587/jcaa.v1i2.4493
Salsabila, S. A., & Pertiwi, T. K. (2022). Peluang pertumbuhan dan ukuran perusahaan terhadap return pemegang saham pada perusahaan merger dan akuisisi di Bursa Efek Indonesia. Media Riset Bisnis & Manajemen, 22(1). https://doi.org/10.25105/mrbm.v21i1.13900
Segara, D. S., & Andayani, W. (2024). Pengaruh profitabilitas, likuiditas, ukuran perusahaan, dan nilai perusahaan terhadap return saham. REAKSI, 3. https://doi.org/10.21776/reaksi.2024.3.4.248
Setiawaty, Y., & Syahzuni, B. A. (2026). Pengaruh likuiditas, kapitalisasi pasar, book to market, pertumbuhan aset, profitabilitas, dan kebijakan dividen terhadap return saham. Jurnal Riset Akuntansi Politala, 9(1). https://doi.org/10.34128/jra.v9i1.625
Sugiyono. (2023). Metode penelitian kuantitatif, kualitatif, dan R&D. Alfabeta.
Utami, S. R., & Sulistyowati, E. (2022). Pengaruh inflasi, PDB, dan nilai perusahaan selama pandemi COVID-19 terhadap return saham. Jurnal Ilmu dan Riset Akuntansi, 11(2),1-18. https://jurnalmahasiswa.stiesia.ac.id/index.php/4525
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2026 Melawati Melawati, Dea Annisa

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
License and Copyright Agreement
- Authors retain copyright and other proprietary rights related to the article.
- Authors retain the right and are permitted to use the substance of the article in their own future works, including lectures and books.
- Authors grant the journal the right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY 4.0) that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgment of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgment of its initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are permitted and encouraged to post or self-archive their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work.







